PnL (30d)

−$70

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

19%

384W / 1,686L · 477 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

548W / 1,947L · 52 open

Trades (30d)

2,547

across 133 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

−$0.71

avg win $4 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.49

$67 won / $137 lost

Reward / Risk

2.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$46

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.1% 1,795W/3,801L	333	$13,676
🏛 Politics	20.9% 202W/765L	60	$4,467
🎬 Culture	20.9% 202W/765L	60	$4,467

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	35	0.735	$25.72	$-0.47	-1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	18	0.971	$17.57	$3.89	+28.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	35	0.189	$6.60	$4.35	+193.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	7	0.925	$6.24	$0.51	+8.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	19	0.185	$3.47	$0.47	+15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	35	0.075	$2.62	$-2.39	-47.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	10	0.165	$1.65	$0.05	+3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	3	0.545	$1.44	$-0.30	-17.4%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.045	$1.35	$-0.16	-10.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	33	0.029	$0.97	$-7.76	-88.9%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	10	0.070	$0.70	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2	0.265	$0.44	$0.02	+6.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	30	0.014	$0.42	$0.06	+16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.013	$0.41	$-1.10	-73.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.007	$0.23	$-0.41	-64.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.007	$0.21	$-0.03	-12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	5	0.031	$0.16	$-2.23	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.004	$0.10	$-0.07	-41.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.003	$0.07	$-0.04	-37.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.003	$0.07	$-0.53	-87.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	12	0.005	$0.06	$-0.01	-16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	30	0.002	$0.04	$-0.26	-85.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2	0.018	$0.04	$-0.02	-33.9%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	35	0.001	$0.02	$-0.02	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	35	0.001	$0.02	$-0.05	-73.1%