PnL (30d)

−$699

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$105

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

1,882W / 1,593L · 1,789 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

3,319W / 1,835L · 110 open

Trades (30d)

5,264

across 240 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

−$6.03

avg win $6 · loss $25

Profit Factor

0.39

$444 won / $1,143 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$169

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.2% 1,882W/1,593L	240	$256,042
⚽ Sports	—	13	$3,784
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/5L	13	$4,769
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	9	$2,951
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	8	$5,990
🤖 Tech	—	4	$594
🎬 Culture	—	1	$915
🔬 Science	—	1	$289

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	200	0.963	$192.50	$-3.30	-1.7%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	199	0.919	$182.89	$-2.56	-1.4%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	200	0.875	$175.01	$1.00	+0.6%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	173	0.915	$158.49	$0.34	+0.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?	No	100	0.991	$99.10	$0.20	+0.2%
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.991	$99.05	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	100	0.989	$98.86	$0.05	+0.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	100	0.989	$98.85	$-0.25	-0.3%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	100	0.988	$98.66	$-0.14	-0.1%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	100	0.987	$98.65	$-0.35	-0.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	100	0.987	$98.65	$-0.45	-0.5%
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	100	0.986	$98.55	$-0.35	-0.4%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	100	0.985	$98.45	$0.05	+0.1%
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.982	$98.20	$-0.20	-0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.982	$98.03	$-0.45	-0.5%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	100	0.974	$97.40	$-0.30	-0.3%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	100	0.973	$97.25	$-1.85	-1.9%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100	0.971	$97.06	$-0.85	-0.9%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	100	0.971	$97.05	$-2.05	-2.1%
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.968	$96.76	$1.25	+1.3%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100	0.968	$96.76	$-1.15	-1.2%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	No	100	0.964	$96.40	$-1.70	-1.7%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.964	$96.34	$-0.25	-0.3%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.960	$95.95	$-0.55	-0.6%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	99	0.966	$95.63	$-0.11	-0.1%