PnL (30d)

−$5

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

1W / 1L · 84 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

39W / 47L

Trades (30d)

86

across 37 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.63

avg win $0 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.03

$0 won / $5 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.2% 181W/258L	157	$25,971
⚽ Sports	40.7% 22W/32L	27	$520
🏛 Politics	—	2	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.009	$2.56	$0.21	+8.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.006	$1.96	$-0.40	-16.8%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.006	$1.96	$-0.40	-16.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	27	0.043	$1.16	$-0.84	-42.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	1	0.875	$1.09	$0.09	+9.4%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	1	0.963	$1.06	$0.06	+5.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	2	0.455	$1.03	$0.03	+3.4%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	66	0.013	$0.88	$-0.45	-33.8%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.85	$-1.19	-58.3%
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	100	0.008	$0.80	$-0.69	-46.4%
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	100	0.007	$0.75	$-0.74	-49.7%
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	100	0.007	$0.70	$-0.79	-53.1%
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-1.39	-68.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	10	0.055	$0.55	$-1.25	-69.4%
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$-1.49	-73.0%
Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$-0.94	-63.2%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$-1.49	-73.0%
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$-0.94	-63.2%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	301	0.002	$0.45	$-1.90	-80.8%