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Trader

0x8adf0798feeea5dc27c7d08307db5f53a47648cd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$25
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$73
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
6W / 0L · 1,357 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
1,033W / 330L
Trades (30d)
1,363
across 16 markets · ~85 per market
EV / position
+$8.36
avg win $8
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,175 · all-time $4,021,159

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.7% 366W/29L 53 $96,923
🏛 Politics 9 $2,224

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 41,683 0.052 $2,188.35 $13.46 +0.6%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 24,858 0.049 $1,218.06 $3.55 +0.3%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 7,131 0.025 $181.13 $3.13 +1.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 5,887 0.030 $179.55 $21.00 +13.2%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 122 0.956 $116.57 $-1.40 -1.2%
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 100 0.954 $95.35 $5.35 +5.9%
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? No 84 0.916 $76.99 $-3.15 -3.9%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.955 $47.75 $2.75 +6.1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 45 0.981 $44.12 $0.83 +1.9%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 25 0.910 $22.75 $1.75 +8.3%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 706 0.029 $20.82 $0.35 +1.7%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 25 0.730 $18.25 $-3.25 -15.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 442 0.024 $10.39 $0.22 +2.2%