PnL (30d)

−$106

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$150

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 27L · 10,442 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

8,397W / 2,072L

Trades (30d)

10,469

across 29 markets · ~361 per market

EV / position

−$35.47

· loss $35

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $106 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$93

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/27L	29	$2,385
🏛 Politics	—	13	$745
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/24L	1	$93
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/24L	1	$93

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	449,993	0.003	$1,124.98	$-787.94	-41.2%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	850,967	0.001	$425.48	$-425.48	-50.0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	17,178	0.015	$257.67	$240.49	+1400.0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	169,585	0.002	$254.38	$84.79	+50.0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	458,361	0.001	$229.18	$-229.18	-50.0%
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	6,568	0.033	$216.75	$-234.02	-51.9%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	349,996	0.001	$175.00	$-175.00	-50.0%
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	90,428	0.002	$135.64	$45.21	+50.0%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	52,237	0.002	$104.47	$52.24	+100.0%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	66,139	0.002	$99.21	$33.07	+50.0%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	63,938	0.002	$95.91	$31.97	+50.0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	56,441	0.002	$84.66	$28.22	+50.0%
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	52,211	0.002	$78.32	$26.11	+50.0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	100,210	0.001	$50.10	$-50.11	-50.0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	99,999	0.001	$50.00	$-50.00	-50.0%
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	10,979	0.004	$49.41	$-31.09	-38.6%
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	2,326	0.021	$48.84	$46.52	+2000.0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,106	0.004	$31.87	$22.76	+250.0%
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	18,995	0.002	$28.49	$9.50	+50.0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9,999	0.003	$25.00	$-25.00	-50.0%
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	996	0.019	$18.93	$17.93	+1800.0%
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	628	0.028	$17.59	$16.97	+2700.0%
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	817	0.021	$16.75	$15.93	+1950.0%
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	632	0.025	$15.79	$15.16	+2400.0%
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	29,999	0.001	$15.00	$-15.00	-50.0%