| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.929 |
$18.58 |
$-0.21 |
-1.1% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.925 |
$18.50 |
$0.50 |
+2.8% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.915 |
$9.15 |
$-0.15 |
-1.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.75 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.700 |
$7.00 |
$-0.40 |
-5.4% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
1 |
0.993 |
$1.04 |
$0.04 |
+3.8% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.994 |
$1.04 |
$0.04 |
+3.5% |
| Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
1 |
0.992 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+3.3% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.999 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
0.998 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.7% |
| Will 240 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
1 |
0.995 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.6% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
0.971 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+1.0% |
| Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| Will Adriano Silva win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
1 |
0.994 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.8% |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
0.999 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will Décio Lima win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
1 |
0.998 |
$1.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.4% |
| Will Afrânio Boppré win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
1 |
0.998 |
$1.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.3% |
| Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.2% |
| Will Marcos Vieira win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
1 |
0.998 |
$1.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.2% |