PnL (30d)

+$89

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

62W / 40L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

85W / 41L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

128

across 38 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$2.86

avg win $25 · loss $28

Profit Factor

1.24

$453 won / $364 lost

Reward / Risk

0.90

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$25

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.8% 84W/88L	76	$1,948
🏛 Politics	66.7% 6W/3L	12	$272
🎬 Culture	66.7% 6W/3L	12	$272
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	98	0.540	$53.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?	Yes	42	0.940	$39.39	$15.92	+67.9%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	94	0.405	$37.93	$-0.29	-0.8%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	50	0.680	$33.98	$4.50	+15.3%
Will Trump say "Manufacturing" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	50	0.525	$26.25	$-3.25	-11.0%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	No	50	0.485	$24.25	$-1.25	-4.9%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 70 and 80 minutes long?	Yes	87	0.175	$15.24	$4.79	+45.8%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks last 80 minutes or longer?	Yes	60	0.170	$10.20	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 60 and 70 minutes long?	Yes	50	0.185	$9.25	$0.25	+2.8%
Will Trump say "Cocaine" in August?	No	3	0.570	$1.75	$0.68	+62.8%
Will Trump say "Easter Egg" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	3	0.280	$0.81	$-0.09	-9.7%