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Trader leaderboard/theo5

theo5

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$514
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
37%
25W / 42L
Trades (30d)
67
across 9 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $103,814,025

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 93.2% 273W/20L 31 $364,401
💵 Economy — 1 $930
🤖 Tech — 1 $930

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 82,195 0.460 $37,809.77 $1,488.39 +4.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 80,323 0.365 $29,317.72 $835.43 +2.9%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 28,910 0.971 $28,057.14 $1,877.30 +7.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 15,400 0.625 $9,624.88 $2,542.03 +35.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? Yes 23,927 0.355 $8,493.97 $4,051.27 +91.2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 6,000 0.987 $5,919.00 $323.00 +5.8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 24,768 0.189 $4,668.77 $-2,746.80 -37.0%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 9,600 0.350 $3,360.00 $2,299.95 +217.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No 9,700 0.345 $3,345.53 $2,223.53 +198.2%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 7,071 0.385 $2,722.29 $-684.62 -20.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes 18,095 0.135 $2,442.89 $511.43 +26.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 77,680 0.015 $1,165.19 $-1,872.70 -61.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes 3,700 0.275 $1,017.50 $240.50 +31.0%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 5,800 0.175 $1,015.00 $-29.00 -2.8%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 5,584 0.175 $979.90 $-266.81 -21.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? Yes 5,178 0.135 $699.06 $77.67 +12.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 3,916 0.165 $646.18 $-185.57 -22.3%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 24,538 0.023 $564.38 $490.77 +666.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes 2,555 0.210 $536.59 $-68.31 -11.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 2,938 0.175 $514.09 $-89.19 -14.8%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No 3,512 0.110 $386.30 $314.87 +440.8%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI 2,628 0.105 $275.90 $-381.17 -58.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? No 1,200 0.215 $258.00 $114.00 +79.2%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 2,866 0.084 $239.32 $-86.01 -26.4%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 7,790 0.024 $183.06 $-171.61 -48.4%