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Trader leaderboard/jy-01

jy-01

0x8a482e9ceb607197ffe971cfdd781c1a081308c5
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$14
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Trades (30d)
4
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$4.64
avg win $5
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $398 · all-time $96,374

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.2% 892W/998L 885 $4,807
🌤 Weather 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $170
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $15
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $15
⚽ Sports 1 $4
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $4
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 370 0.945 $349.70 $160.44 +84.8%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 617 0.375 $231.24 $-77.08 -25.0%
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? No 148 0.924 $136.68 $48.54 +55.1%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 102 0.962 $97.82 $-0.18 -0.2%
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No 104 0.875 $91.00 $34.40 +60.8%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 99 0.885 $87.88 $31.56 +56.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 51 0.945 $47.89 $0.86 +1.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 40 0.963 $38.02 $15.48 +68.7%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 103 0.203 $20.91 $-9.94 -32.2%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.92 $9.92 +99.2%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 20 0.902 $18.05 $8.05 +80.5%
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes 39 0.294 $11.47 $-8.03 -41.2%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 6 0.959 $6.18 $2.12 +52.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 9 0.545 $4.95 $-0.74 -13.0%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 7 0.485 $3.23 $0.23 +7.8%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 3 0.925 $3.03 $0.28 +10.1%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 4 0.785 $2.95 $0.17 +6.1%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No 3 0.870 $2.86 $-0.10 -3.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 50 0.055 $2.77 $-0.25 -8.3%
Set 4 Winner: Vukic vs Brooksby Brooksby 5 0.500 $2.69 $-0.97 -26.5%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 3 0.997 $2.51 $0.28 +12.3%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 3 0.746 $2.25 $0.44 +24.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? No 3 0.765 $2.23 $-0.36 -14.0%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No 3 0.680 $2.08 $0.98 +88.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 6 0.325 $1.87 $-0.72 -27.8%