| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
110 |
0.580 |
$63.80 |
$13.90 |
+27.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
21 |
0.981 |
$20.84 |
$1.34 |
+6.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
20 |
0.989 |
$19.77 |
$0.80 |
+4.2% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
22 |
0.875 |
$19.25 |
$7.26 |
+60.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.395 |
$13.43 |
$1.45 |
+12.1% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.919 |
$11.95 |
$0.50 |
+4.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.625 |
$11.26 |
$0.96 |
+9.3% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.885 |
$11.06 |
$1.05 |
+10.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.925 |
$10.91 |
$0.35 |
+3.4% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.905 |
$10.86 |
$1.02 |
+10.4% |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.46 |
$0.22 |
+2.2% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? |
No |
10 |
0.968 |
$9.68 |
$0.28 |
+2.9% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.935 |
$9.35 |
$0.10 |
+1.1% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.865 |
$8.65 |
$-0.45 |
-4.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.665 |
$7.32 |
$-0.05 |
-0.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.675 |
$6.76 |
$1.17 |
+21.0% |
| Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
6 |
0.989 |
$6.43 |
$0.37 |
+6.0% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.910 |
$5.92 |
$1.24 |
+26.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.355 |
$5.68 |
$-0.08 |
-1.4% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.935 |
$5.61 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? |
Yes |
7 |
0.765 |
$5.36 |
$0.24 |
+4.8% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.880 |
$5.28 |
$0.36 |
+7.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.91 |
$0.35 |
+7.8% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.590 |
$4.87 |
$-0.74 |
-13.2% |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.953 |
$4.76 |
$0.26 |
+5.8% |