PnL (30d)

−$8

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

1W / 4L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

3W / 7L

Trades (30d)

10

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.90

avg win $18 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.70

$18 won / $26 lost

Reward / Risk

2.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 1W/4L	9	$180
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$12
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$32
₿ Crypto	—	1	$23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	37	0.575	$21.44	$-1.25	-5.5%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	92	0.215	$19.77	$-0.23	-1.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	21	0.825	$16.99	$9.99	+142.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	119	0.110	$13.10	$-11.90	-47.6%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	625	0.006	$3.75	$1.25	+50.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	17	0.042	$0.72	$-4.28	-85.7%