PnL (30d)

−$557

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

136W / 22L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

139W / 22L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

163

across 39 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$15.48

avg win $9 · loss $138

Profit Factor

0.33

$271 won / $828 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	86.1% 136W/22L	39	$37,236
🏛 Politics	100.0% 15W/0L	4	$3,292
🎬 Culture	100.0% 15W/0L	4	$3,292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	466	0.993	$462.40	$1.17	+0.3%