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Trader

0x8997a3f3c1138b8a585856bf07db8bdd7aa869fa
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.87
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.13
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14 · all-time $33,279

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 14W/7L 27 $29
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 10 $12
🏛 Politics 40.0% 2W/3L 3 $5
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No 75 0.665 $49.93 $18.33 +58.0%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 69 0.345 $23.65 $9.41 +66.0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.902 $18.88 $5.88 +45.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.515 $10.89 $-6.14 -36.0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.900 $8.48 $0.48 +6.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.300 $7.09 $1.09 +18.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.835 $5.69 $0.69 +13.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.455 $2.89 $1.26 +77.3%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.725 $2.64 $0.64 +32.0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.835 $2.22 $0.22 +11.1%
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? No 2 0.989 $2.01 $0.01 +0.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 2 0.987 $2.01 $0.01 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.165 $1.70 $-1.30 -43.3%
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.640 $1.49 $-0.51 -25.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.915 $1.45 $0.45 +45.2%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 37 0.037 $1.39 $0.39 +38.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 1 0.956 $1.31 $0.31 +30.9%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1 0.976 $1.30 $0.30 +30.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1 0.835 $1.13 $0.13 +12.8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.630 $1.07 $0.07 +6.8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.445 $1.03 $0.03 +3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.505 $1.03 $0.03 +3.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.335 $1.02 $0.02 +1.5%
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.880 $1.01 $0.01 +1.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7? No 1 0.982 $1.00 $0.00 +0.3%