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Trader leaderboard/rocky42025

rocky42025

0x8929a63143fba9416c8e0d3c96388b429c47733e
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$149
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
291W / 565L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
297W / 570L
Trades (30d)
867
across 68 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$2.37
avg win $39 · loss $23
Profit Factor
1.17
$1,011 won / $862 lost
Reward / Risk
1.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$172
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,535 · all-time $7,147,984

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.4% 4,566W/5,285L 671 $234,437
⚽ Sports 53.6% 67W/58L 41 $2,634
🌤 Weather 51.7% 108W/101L 20 $2,628
🏛 Politics 36.0% 71W/126L 11 $7,754
💵 Economy 92.0% 104W/9L 10 $2,518
🎬 Culture 39.2% 69W/107L 8 $7,049
₿ Crypto 25.0% 3W/9L 7 $501
🤖 Tech 100.0% 74W/0L 1 $1,065

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? No 1,169 0.450 $526.07 $137.02 +35.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 256 0.972 $248.63 $-0.88 -0.4%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 277 0.895 $247.91 $-1.39 -0.6%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No 791 0.200 $158.11 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat? No 158 0.944 $149.15 $-2.69 -1.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No 994 0.145 $144.11 $-4.97 -3.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat? Yes 137 0.965 $132.20 $3.42 +2.7%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 96 0.723 $69.17 $-0.05 -0.1%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions LG Twins 125 0.515 $64.51 $19.67 +43.9%
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee? Yes 89 0.620 $55.38 $11.16 +25.2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 49 1.000 $48.98 $13.39 +37.6%
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? Yes 383 0.125 $47.89 $-32.18 -40.2%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No 51 0.925 $47.41 $0.26 +0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat? Yes 289 0.160 $46.25 $-0.59 -1.3%
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? No 49 0.875 $42.45 $-3.15 -6.9%
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 75 0.565 $42.36 $0.37 +0.9%
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No 444 0.090 $40.18 $-23.84 -37.2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5? No 40 1.000 $39.54 $14.01 +54.9%
Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes 300 0.130 $39.00 $-6.90 -15.0%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? Yes 186 0.188 $34.88 $-28.55 -45.0%
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 103 0.335 $34.51 $-0.52 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5? No 58 0.555 $32.22 $1.81 +5.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? No 38 0.755 $28.69 $-0.57 -1.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 62 0.415 $25.75 $23.43 +1006.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,251 0.021 $25.64 $-6.88 -21.2%