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Trader

0x88ec2648c195f727288472b6ed3201ccd6247ef0
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
10W / 2L
Win Return (30d)
83%
10W / 2L
Trades (30d)
12
across 4 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.38
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.42
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $273 · all-time $187,249

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.2% 90W/33L 62 $496
🎬 Culture 100.0% 5W/0L 3 $29
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $3
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $3
💵 Economy — 1 $7
🤖 Tech — 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September? No 30 0.810 $24.37 $6.08 +33.2%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 980 0.024 $23.04 $21.08 +1075.0%
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 29 0.499 $14.41 $12.39 +613.6%
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 29 0.495 $14.30 $12.28 +607.9%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No 16 0.625 $10.13 $5.27 +108.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 7 0.880 $5.91 $0.94 +18.9%
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 22 0.245 $5.39 $3.41 +172.2%
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? Yes 9 0.505 $4.51 $-1.25 -21.7%
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes 4 0.991 $4.41 $1.07 +32.1%
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 936 0.004 $4.21 $2.34 +125.0%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 5 0.835 $4.00 $2.42 +153.0%
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 2,005 0.002 $3.01 $-1.00 -25.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 13 0.215 $2.79 $-6.71 -70.7%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? Yes 14 0.180 $2.45 $0.41 +20.0%
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? No 14 0.170 $2.29 $-0.13 -5.6%
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 1,500 0.002 $2.25 $-0.75 -25.0%
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 1,460 0.002 $2.19 $-0.73 -25.0%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 1,365 0.002 $2.05 $-0.68 -25.0%
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 630 0.003 $1.57 $0.31 +25.0%
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 16 0.090 $1.41 $0.31 +28.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 4 0.365 $1.33 $-1.33 -50.0%
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 9 0.105 $0.95 $0.32 +50.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 2 0.535 $0.92 $-0.17 -15.5%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 8 0.095 $0.74 $-0.97 -56.8%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 10 0.065 $0.67 $-1.61 -70.5%