almost-never
0x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c
PnL (30d)
+$2,382
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
124W / 27L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
124W / 34L
Trades (30d)
158
across 10 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$264.72
avg win $547 · loss $300
Profit Factor
3.65
$3,282 won / $900 lost
Reward / Risk
1.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$629
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $11,795,718
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
82.1%
124W/27L
|
10 |
$21,372 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
27.5%
22W/58L
|
3 |
$10,625 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
450,000 |
0.790 |
$355,725.00 |
$130,725.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
450,000 |
0.209 |
$94,275.00 |
$-130,725.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
11,000 |
0.865 |
$9,515.00 |
$715.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.865 |
$259.50 |
$19.50 |
+8.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.013 |
$2.70 |
$-10.30 |
-79.2% |