| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? |
Yes |
1,553 |
0.415 |
$644.40 |
$105.42 |
+19.6% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? |
Yes |
1,475 |
0.275 |
$405.59 |
$-19.42 |
-4.6% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? |
No |
200 |
0.958 |
$191.60 |
$21.65 |
+12.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$6.50 |
+7.6% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.375 |
$74.83 |
$19.69 |
+35.7% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$11.00 |
+18.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.504 |
$50.44 |
$-14.26 |
-22.0% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? |
Yes |
140 |
0.320 |
$44.80 |
$3.20 |
+7.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.885 |
$44.25 |
$2.75 |
+6.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
50 |
0.885 |
$44.25 |
$4.75 |
+12.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
60 |
0.735 |
$44.09 |
$2.70 |
+6.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$0.75 |
+1.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.850 |
$42.48 |
$7.72 |
+22.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.845 |
$42.25 |
$6.25 |
+17.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.785 |
$39.25 |
$13.25 |
+51.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.755 |
$37.75 |
$8.25 |
+28.0% |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.310 |
$33.63 |
$18.62 |
+124.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? |
Yes |
100 |
0.335 |
$33.50 |
$1.50 |
+4.7% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? |
Yes |
138 |
0.235 |
$32.39 |
$-8.58 |
-20.9% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.280 |
$27.95 |
$7.95 |
+39.8% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
50 |
0.510 |
$25.50 |
$-5.50 |
-17.7% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.196 |
$19.55 |
$2.62 |
+15.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.347 |
$17.37 |
$6.40 |
+58.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.855 |
$17.10 |
$2.90 |
+20.4% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? |
Yes |
210 |
0.081 |
$17.01 |
$-5.59 |
-24.8% |