PnL (30d)

−$416

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$115

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

199W / 332L · 168 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

260W / 439L

Trades (30d)

699

across 106 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$6.60

avg win $16 · loss $14

Profit Factor

0.38

$258 won / $674 lost

Reward / Risk

1.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 199W/332L	106	$4,279
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/5L	21	$237
🏛 Politics	—	1	$6
💵 Economy	—	1	$7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

55 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,128	0.075	$309.57	$-413.89	-57.2%
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	878	0.130	$114.19	$-29.19	-20.4%
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,189	0.060	$71.34	$-119.08	-62.5%
Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	134	0.410	$55.00	$0.50	+0.9%
Will Solana reach $80 in August?	Yes	110	0.480	$52.80	$-3.60	-6.4%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	Yes	400	0.120	$48.00	$-4.00	-7.7%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	Yes	400	0.120	$48.00	$-3.00	-5.9%
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?	Yes	196	0.235	$46.02	$-27.83	-37.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	108	0.370	$40.14	$20.61	+105.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	115	0.335	$38.60	$3.85	+11.1%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	760	0.043	$32.30	$-41.18	-56.0%
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	592	0.045	$26.63	$-11.98	-31.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	486	0.036	$17.75	$-56.17	-76.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	20	0.865	$17.30	$4.10	+31.1%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	353	0.046	$16.39	$-21.81	-57.1%
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	166	0.090	$14.98	$-15.65	-51.1%
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	30	0.495	$14.85	$7.95	+115.2%
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	198	0.060	$11.86	$-4.81	-28.9%
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	264	0.044	$11.76	$-16.75	-58.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	40	0.265	$10.60	$1.60	+17.8%
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	213	0.045	$9.58	$-12.12	-55.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	58	0.140	$8.09	$-13.68	-62.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	212	0.037	$7.95	$-2.92	-26.8%
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.260	$6.50	$3.55	+120.3%
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	124	0.051	$6.30	$-1.37	-17.9%