Trader
0x8884545796ce2b6fa7c0ea667dc3b3926ace84ee
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$21
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+52.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
57W / 134L
Win Return (30d)
30%
57W / 134L
Trades (30d)
191
across 37 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$0.56
avg win $4 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.92
$44 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
5.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,004 · all-time $107,252
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
29.0%
217W/530L
|
116 |
$477 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
50.0%
10W/10L
|
5 |
$5 |
|
🤖 Tech
|
100.0%
2W/0L
|
1 |
$2 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.007 |
$7.50 |
$4.50 |
+150.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6? |
Yes |
20 |
0.045 |
$0.90 |
$0.50 |
+125.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? |
Yes |
30 |
0.015 |
$0.45 |
$0.21 |
+87.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
30 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.70 |
-97.9% |