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Trader leaderboard/Tokyobr

Tokyobr

0x881713021866ab84467b2b552b6cd7a51ac9cda8
PnL (30d)
+$5,885
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
9,616W / 1,311L · 221 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
9,793W / 1,321L · 34 open
Trades (30d)
11,148
across 2,209 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$2.71
avg win $5 · loss $13
Profit Factor
2.51
$9,779 won / $3,894 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$307
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $126,646 · all-time $5,823,884

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.0% 9,616W/1,311L 2209 $867,953
🌤 Weather 82.4% 580W/124L 183 $72,998
⚽ Sports 64.1% 25W/14L 10 $1,725
🏛 Politics 2 $1,116
💵 Economy 1 $17
🤖 Tech 1 $17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,573 0.926 $2,384.35 $96.24 +4.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,500 0.741 $1,110.75 $-50.00 -4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 600 1.000 $599.70 $0.30 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 419 1.000 $418.33 $0.21 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? No 408 1.000 $407.85 $0.20 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 400 1.000 $399.80 $0.20 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 250 1.000 $249.88 $0.12 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? No 250 0.999 $249.62 $-0.12 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? No 230 0.999 $229.66 $0.12 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 169 1.000 $168.98 $1.70 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 5? No 123 1.000 $122.92 $0.06 +0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 90 0.645 $58.05 $0.85 +1.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 70 0.825 $57.75 $-3.35 -5.5%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? No 214 0.265 $56.79 $-3.21 -5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5? No 35 0.995 $34.75 $0.17 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? No 33 1.000 $33.44 $0.02 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? Yes 30 0.994 $29.82 $3.42 +13.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 5? No 23 1.000 $22.99 $1.14 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 20 1.000 $19.99 $1.79 +9.8%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? Yes 15 0.970 $14.55 $0.60 +4.3%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 16 0.685 $10.87 $0.87 +8.7%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-05? Yes 125 0.085 $10.62 $0.62 +6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 6 0.998 $5.54 $4.46 +412.6%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 200 0.013 $2.70 $-0.50 -15.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? Yes 34 0.055 $1.87 $-0.17 -8.3%