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Trader leaderboard/you-canupdatthislater

you-canupdatthislater

0x87ec6cd961d326bd6caa54b8a2a194440522138f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$241
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
111W / 237L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
132W / 263L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
398
across 57 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$5.35
avg win $3 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.20
$59 won / $300 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$237
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,394 · all-time $5,960,343

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.6% 14,256W/13,359L 316 $834,249
🌤 Weather 33.1% 106W/214L 50 $4,286

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? No 142 0.420 $59.58 $-2.13 -3.4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5? No 58 0.835 $48.07 $-2.02 -4.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? No 59 0.725 $42.47 $-0.29 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5? No 42 1.000 $42.17 $10.53 +33.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 38 0.750 $28.47 $-2.93 -9.3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? No 39 0.630 $24.27 $-2.24 -8.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? No 29 0.840 $24.16 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? No 21 1.000 $20.99 $7.13 +51.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? No 21 1.000 $20.99 $9.44 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? No 17 0.815 $14.01 $0.21 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? No 21 0.625 $13.12 $-2.15 -14.1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? No 19 0.555 $10.66 $-0.48 -4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6? Yes 21 0.470 $9.87 $-1.05 -9.6%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5? Yes 84 0.110 $9.20 $-2.60 -22.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? No 13 0.690 $9.04 $-0.13 -1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6? Yes 14 0.475 $6.54 $-0.81 -11.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $5.97 $1.22 +25.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 6 0.895 $4.94 $0.19 +4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 5 0.925 $4.51 $0.52 +12.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 5 0.845 $4.22 $0.47 +12.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 7? Yes 14 0.285 $3.93 $-0.21 -5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? No 7 0.525 $3.80 $-0.33 -7.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? Yes 21 0.125 $2.62 $-0.52 -16.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 2 1.000 $2.32 $1.00 +75.3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? Yes 6 0.330 $2.12 $0.19 +10.0%