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Trader leaderboard/10000Bets

10000Bets

0x87684f29d70994464c6f533bc52eb693b4f4dd9b
PnL (30d)
−$8,515
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$339
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
101W / 99L · 104 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
136W / 165L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
304
across 58 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$224.08
avg win $36 · loss $3,256
Profit Factor
0.13
$1,254 won / $9,769 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,430 · all-time $2,750,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.5% 101W/99L 58 $74,450
🏛 Politics 9 $14,293
₿ Crypto 2 $1,284
💵 Economy 1 $883
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 14,000 0.915 $12,809.94 $3,064.99 +31.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10,000 0.835 $8,350.00 $365.01 +4.6%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 7,583 0.980 $7,427.99 $32.10 +0.4%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No 7,374 0.860 $6,342.06 $310.89 +5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5,000 0.925 $4,625.00 $125.00 +2.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5,000 0.885 $4,424.99 $75.00 +1.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 2,999 0.855 $2,564.57 $771.53 +43.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,000 0.845 $2,535.00 $225.00 +9.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No 2,669 0.945 $2,521.79 $347.52 +16.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? No 2,230 0.971 $2,164.66 $3.35 +0.2%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No 2,934 0.725 $2,127.11 $-201.86 -8.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? No 2,000 0.983 $1,964.99 $19.00 +1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 1,750 0.968 $1,693.99 $-4.75 -0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.840 $1,679.94 $60.00 +3.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,500 0.981 $1,470.75 $45.75 +3.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No 1,521 0.964 $1,465.07 $111.62 +8.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 1,000 0.935 $935.00 $125.00 +15.4%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,000 0.935 $935.00 $5.00 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.765 $764.92 $-10.60 -1.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 600 0.959 $575.40 $-7.80 -1.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 1,500 0.356 $534.75 $-5.75 -1.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 500 0.953 $476.25 $16.25 +3.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 500 0.835 $417.50 $2.50 +0.6%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 400 0.875 $350.00 $14.00 +4.2%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 7 0.980 $6.78 $0.09 +1.4%