PnL (30d)

+$19,026

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$244

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+16.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

1,155W / 1,583L · 1,213 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

1,718W / 2,159L · 74 open

Trades (30d)

3,951

across 1,067 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$24.11

avg win $169 · loss $71

Profit Factor

1.56

$52,775 won / $33,749 lost

Reward / Risk

2.39

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,248

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.2% 1,155W/1,583L	1067	$131,687
⚽ Sports	38.5% 135W/216L	242	$19,187
🏛 Politics	30.7% 42W/95L	88	$14,600
💵 Economy	27.1% 16W/43L	18	$3,801
🎬 Culture	—	3	$678
₿ Crypto	—	2	$37
🤖 Tech	—	1	$330

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	25,000	0.996	$24,887.50	$12,387.50	+99.1%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,286	0.915	$1,176.69	$57.87	+5.2%
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	Yes	1,022	0.997	$1,018.20	$199.54	+24.4%
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?	Yes	797	0.965	$768.71	$16.81	+2.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	Yes	1,050	0.595	$624.75	$68.25	+12.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?	Yes	645	0.885	$571.26	$56.31	+10.9%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	1,665	0.335	$557.83	$-19.49	-3.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	657	0.845	$555.16	$-9.23	-1.6%
Will New Mexico United win on 2026-07-24?	Yes	1,050	0.485	$509.25	$225.75	+79.6%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	658	0.720	$473.76	$4.54	+1.0%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	496	0.865	$428.97	$56.25	+15.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	723	0.585	$423.14	$6.82	+1.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?	No	500	0.845	$422.50	$17.50	+4.3%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	725	0.565	$409.55	$-18.20	-4.3%
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	Yes	517	0.740	$382.62	$-2.83	-0.7%
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	561	0.675	$378.68	$60.20	+18.9%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	472	0.790	$372.67	$8.27	+2.3%
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	726	0.500	$362.87	$50.39	+16.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	513	0.675	$346.34	$2.57	+0.7%
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	351	0.945	$331.88	$42.73	+14.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	No	469	0.675	$316.50	$2.39	+0.8%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	371	0.815	$302.33	$46.88	+18.4%
Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	No	318	0.920	$292.33	$57.91	+24.7%
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	358	0.815	$291.93	$17.61	+6.4%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	528	0.545	$287.75	$18.51	+6.9%