| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,330 |
0.925 |
$2,155.24 |
$104.85 |
+5.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
2,210 |
0.945 |
$2,088.44 |
$88.45 |
+4.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,476 |
0.853 |
$1,257.97 |
$191.95 |
+18.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
920 |
0.999 |
$918.36 |
$256.65 |
+38.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
850 |
0.933 |
$793.04 |
$228.55 |
+40.5% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.966 |
$483.00 |
$13.90 |
+3.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,177 |
0.375 |
$441.46 |
$-23.54 |
-5.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.675 |
$405.01 |
$67.00 |
+19.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
407 |
0.964 |
$392.49 |
$29.94 |
+8.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.962 |
$384.57 |
$21.20 |
+5.8% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.875 |
$350.01 |
$15.25 |
+4.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.976 |
$292.80 |
$0.90 |
+0.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
301 |
0.875 |
$263.02 |
$2.50 |
+1.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
310 |
0.825 |
$255.81 |
$-10.85 |
-4.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.961 |
$240.12 |
$0.88 |
+0.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.987 |
$197.30 |
$16.50 |
+9.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.986 |
$197.09 |
$-0.30 |
-0.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.973 |
$194.50 |
$20.50 |
+11.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$181.00 |
$9.00 |
+5.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.860 |
$172.00 |
$0.80 |
+0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$23.00 |
+15.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.535 |
$160.49 |
$-62.70 |
-28.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
160 |
0.991 |
$158.56 |
$36.16 |
+29.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.830 |
$155.96 |
$3.76 |
+2.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
160 |
0.935 |
$149.60 |
$9.10 |
+6.5% |