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Trader

0x87046cc15301a1eb23a62d5a53d44301c4963b94
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$25
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+171.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
58W / 32L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
83W / 41L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
126
across 42 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.83
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
6.38
$29 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
14.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,367 · all-time $1,225,979

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.1% 578W/864L 679 $646
⚽ Sports 23.6% 59W/191L 122 $92
🏛 Politics 28.6% 4W/10L 17 $15
🌤 Weather 75.0% 27W/9L 14 $11
🎬 Culture 25.0% 4W/12L 13 $13
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 5 $1
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $0
🤖 Tech 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes? Yes 78 0.290 $22.74 $21.95 +2800.0%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 38 0.416 $15.74 $14.98 +1982.5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Over 14 0.415 $6.00 $5.57 +1283.3%
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5 Under 16 0.243 $3.89 $3.25 +507.5%
Exact Score: Orange County SC 3 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies? Yes 6 0.253 $1.44 $1.32 +1102.3%
Exact Score: Orange County SC 3 - 3 Tampa Bay Rowdies? Yes 6 0.253 $1.44 $1.32 +1102.3%
NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 Under 4 0.195 $0.87 $0.65 +290.0%
Will New People win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? Yes 28 0.024 $0.67 $0.11 +20.0%
Will Edward Pope be the FL-16 Republican nominee? Yes 20 0.025 $0.49 $0.26 +108.3%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-08 House seat? Yes 15 0.032 $0.47 $0.20 +75.0%
Will anyone say "Prize" 5+ times during Big Brother E17? Yes 10 0.040 $0.41 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee? Yes 15 0.025 $0.39 $-0.25 -39.0%
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes 13 0.029 $0.37 $-0.02 -5.0%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 8 0.045 $0.35 $0.27 +313.6%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 8 0.045 $0.34 $0.26 +313.5%
Will A Just Russia win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? Yes 15 0.021 $0.31 $0.01 +4.9%
Will LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? Yes 15 0.019 $0.29 $-0.01 -2.5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 Under 1 0.289 $0.29 $0.27 +1275.7%
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 0.5 Under 9 0.031 $0.28 $-0.08 -22.5%
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5 Over 3 0.055 $0.19 $-0.05 -21.4%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on August 6? Yes 73 0.002 $0.15 $-0.07 -33.3%
Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 5 0.028 $0.14 $0.10 +292.6%
Will Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 5 0.026 $0.13 $0.09 +212.2%
Forest Green Rovers FC vs. FC Halifax Town: O/U 5.5 Over 1 0.105 $0.11 $0.08 +249.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.010 $0.11 $-0.11 -50.0%