PnL (30d)

−$0

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

88%

21W / 3L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

35W / 11L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

49

across 33 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.03

avg win $1 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.96

$9 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.5% 21W/3L	33	$1,909
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$82
🤖 Tech	—	3	$82
🔬 Science	—	2	$40
💵 Economy	—	2	$38
🏛 Politics	—	2	$80
⚽ Sports	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	125	0.941	$117.58	$0.58	+0.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	110	0.935	$102.75	$2.75	+2.7%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	99	0.886	$88.07	$34.07	+63.1%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85	0.954	$80.84	$0.72	+0.9%
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	74	0.947	$70.13	$0.04	+0.1%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	81	0.855	$69.66	$0.90	+1.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	No	97	0.675	$65.15	$-21.85	-25.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	64	0.925	$58.83	$3.19	+5.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	60	0.949	$57.24	$2.25	+4.1%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	54	0.965	$52.36	$1.36	+2.7%
New pandemic in 2026?	No	53	0.935	$49.84	$-0.16	-0.3%
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	47	0.954	$45.07	$1.07	+2.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	43	0.955	$41.22	$0.01	+0.0%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	44	0.915	$40.22	$0.22	+0.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	49	0.750	$36.60	$-4.40	-10.7%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	32	0.945	$30.48	$0.48	+1.6%
GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	31	0.971	$30.00	$0.00	+0.0%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	33	0.905	$29.51	$0.51	+1.8%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	32	0.935	$29.48	$-0.52	-1.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	21	0.875	$18.62	$-1.38	-6.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	19	0.920	$17.77	$0.77	+4.5%
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	17	0.957	$15.93	$0.06	+0.4%
OpenAI acquired before 2027?	No	15	0.960	$14.55	$0.06	+0.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	12	0.958	$11.13	$1.13	+11.3%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	12	0.925	$10.76	$0.76	+7.6%