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0x86b1d13d442471814d47218b1486cb364cc0c094
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,127
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-13.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
130W / 173L
Win Return (30d)
43%
130W / 173L
Trades (30d)
303
across 36 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$31.31
avg win $54 · loss $151
Profit Factor
0.50
$1,136 won / $2,263 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$100
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $278,638 · all-time $5,087,707
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
30.1%
1,665W/3,870L
|
738 |
$245,080 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
22.5%
335W/1,151L
|
166 |
$85,608 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
15.4%
8W/44L
|
11 |
$340 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone |
Mariano Navone |
2,222 |
0.455 |
$1,011.01 |
$277.75 |
+37.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
985 |
1.000 |
$984.40 |
$776.54 |
+373.6% |
| National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez |
Zizou Bergs |
935 |
1.000 |
$934.73 |
$382.96 |
+69.4% |
| National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
5,511 |
0.033 |
$181.86 |
$-755.88 |
-80.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
121 |
1.000 |
$120.94 |
$38.89 |
+47.4% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner |
EDward Gaming |
5,757 |
0.001 |
$2.88 |
$-2,106.96 |
-99.9% |
| National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry |
Tomas Etcheverry |
4,955 |
0.001 |
$2.48 |
$-506.17 |
-99.5% |
| National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Kayla Cross |
Kayla Cross |
2,125 |
0.001 |
$1.06 |
$-419.52 |
-99.7% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner |
EDward Gaming |
2,105 |
0.001 |
$1.05 |
$-850.02 |
-99.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
84 |
0.001 |
$0.04 |
$-5.00 |
-99.2% |
| Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
TEC Esports |
100 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-15.00 |
-100.0% |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner |
fnatic |
820 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-82.00 |
-100.0% |