PnL (30d)

−$5,879

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,961

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

513W / 508L · 141 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

513W / 647L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,162

across 286 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$21.38

avg win $133 · loss $152

Profit Factor

0.74

$16,718 won / $22,598 lost

Reward / Risk

0.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,068

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.2% 513W/508L	286	$157,645
⚽ Sports	68.4% 65W/30L	27	$9,598
🏛 Politics	—	5	$4,182

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	4,532	0.115	$521.14	$-459.15	-46.8%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	1,073	0.070	$75.09	$-74.91	-49.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	1,111	0.034	$37.79	$-72.01	-65.6%