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0x86a642f6ee9888795c62a43ec9ca175927bc1ac6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$481
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$474
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
29W / 11L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
50W / 25L
Trades (30d)
75
across 32 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$32.09
avg win $95 · loss $62
Profit Factor
2.30
$852 won / $371 lost
Reward / Risk
1.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,780 · all-time $277,155
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
439 |
0.150 |
$65.87 |
$4.39 |
+7.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
71 |
0.702 |
$49.81 |
$-2.73 |
-5.2% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
814 |
0.035 |
$28.08 |
$-121.70 |
-81.3% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.090 |
$27.00 |
$9.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
57 |
0.435 |
$24.71 |
$-8.80 |
-26.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
23 |
0.725 |
$16.99 |
$4.80 |
+39.4% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
Yes |
68 |
0.130 |
$8.84 |
$-6.12 |
-40.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
Yes |
122 |
0.009 |
$1.10 |
$-25.74 |
-95.9% |
| Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
300 |
0.001 |
$0.15 |
$-50.85 |
-99.7% |