Log in
Trader leaderboard/0x864796112505fa75Ef02f302759c3211629Bd870-1759443649272

0x864796112505fa75Ef02f302759c3211629Bd870-1759443649272

0x864796112505fa75ef02f302759c3211629bd870
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$9
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$121
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
2W / 1L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
28W / 12L
Trades (30d)
40
across 12 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.50
avg win $162 · loss $171
Profit Factor
0.95
$162 won / $171 lost
Reward / Risk
0.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,591 · all-time $159,941

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 3W/3L 15 $1,743
🏛 Politics 8 $782

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 500 0.590 $295.00 $95.00 +47.5%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 345 0.849 $292.90 $144.25 +97.0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,010 0.072 $290.72 $-104.82 -26.5%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No 300 0.920 $275.99 $21.00 +8.2%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 200 0.700 $140.00 $50.00 +55.6%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 404 0.162 $65.49 $-2.70 -4.0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,740 0.013 $63.99 $2.60 +4.2%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 480 0.070 $33.36 $-6.48 -16.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? Yes 287 0.099 $28.44 $14.08 +98.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 42 0.545 $22.71 $2.71 +13.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 400 0.054 $21.60 $1.60 +8.0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 6,879 0.002 $10.32 $-24.08 -70.0%
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 698 0.011 $7.33 $0.35 +5.0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3,272 0.002 $4.91 $-66.86 -93.2%
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 12 0.009 $0.12 $-0.60 -83.6%