PnL (30d)

−$664

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$397

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

2W / 1L · 133 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

62W / 74L

Trades (30d)

136

across 22 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$221.29

avg win $78 · loss $820

Profit Factor

0.19

$156 won / $820 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.7% 2W/1L	22	$10,684
🏛 Politics	—	15	$6,175

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	17,856	0.170	$3,035.51	$-3,319.67	-52.2%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	5,404	0.225	$1,215.99	$-2,900.29	-70.5%
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	1,844	0.325	$599.22	$9.63	+1.6%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	2,525	0.205	$517.57	$-1,488.70	-74.2%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	1,325	0.295	$390.89	$-35.45	-8.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,695	0.090	$334.40	$31.20	+10.3%
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	902	0.205	$184.88	$-91.77	-33.2%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	902	0.120	$108.29	$-54.34	-33.4%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	Yes	113	0.415	$46.83	$-3.83	-7.6%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?	Yes	100	0.240	$24.00	$-6.00	-20.0%