| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
26,836 |
0.086 |
$2,294.48 |
$56.01 |
+2.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
2,500 |
0.790 |
$1,975.00 |
$350.85 |
+21.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.830 |
$830.03 |
$19.64 |
+2.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.850 |
$425.00 |
$10.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.356 |
$356.48 |
$-25.70 |
-6.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.143 |
$287.00 |
$1.01 |
+0.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
500 |
0.555 |
$277.50 |
$-7.50 |
-2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
500 |
0.555 |
$277.50 |
$-7.50 |
-2.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.910 |
$272.97 |
$38.97 |
+16.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
500 |
0.545 |
$272.50 |
$-9.50 |
-3.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.044 |
$222.50 |
$-7.50 |
-3.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
502 |
0.405 |
$203.31 |
$15.40 |
+8.2% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.025 |
$127.00 |
$-29.03 |
-18.6% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.51 |
$10.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.835 |
$83.49 |
$18.50 |
+28.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
500 |
0.135 |
$67.50 |
$-23.00 |
-25.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.49 |
$-0.50 |
-0.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.645 |
$64.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
500 |
0.125 |
$62.50 |
$-15.67 |
-20.0% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
100 |
0.603 |
$60.30 |
$-7.30 |
-10.8% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.505 |
$50.50 |
$-3.00 |
-5.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.95 |
$0.60 |
+1.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.245 |
$49.00 |
$9.00 |
+22.5% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
117 |
0.415 |
$48.55 |
$-35.64 |
-42.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.485 |
$48.50 |
$-0.50 |
-1.0% |