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Trader leaderboard/umbrella-labs

umbrella-labs

0x860c51f3afa22dfaa4ae2c26fc749701f545418d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
17W / 12L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
29W / 16L
Trades (30d)
45
across 31 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.55
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.34
$6 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
0.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $140 · all-time $79,706

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.4% 439W/353L 648 $2,645
⚽ Sports 59.2% 42W/29L 68 $199
🎬 Culture 66.7% 2W/1L 2 $7
₿ Crypto 66.7% 2W/1L 2 $8
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix Trent Rockets 5 0.850 $4.25 $0.40 +10.4%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No 5 0.660 $3.30 $1.45 +78.4%
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? Yes 5 0.620 $3.10 $-0.20 -6.1%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No 5 0.555 $2.77 $-0.07 -2.6%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 5 0.540 $2.70 $0.42 +18.4%
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? No 5 0.295 $1.47 $-0.48 -24.4%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No 5 0.250 $1.25 $-0.40 -24.2%
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? Yes 5 0.235 $1.17 $-0.23 -16.1%
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? No 10 0.110 $1.10 $-0.40 -26.7%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins Hanwha Eagles 5 0.220 $1.10 $-0.45 -29.2%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? Yes 15 0.068 $1.01 $-0.07 -6.2%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 5 0.175 $0.88 $-0.17 -16.7%
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? No 9 0.085 $0.72 $0.04 +6.2%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.066 $0.66 $-0.35 -35.1%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No 5 0.105 $0.53 $-0.57 -52.3%
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? No 5 0.095 $0.47 $-0.68 -58.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? No 20 0.012 $0.24 $-0.96 -80.0%