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Trader leaderboard/0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314

0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314

0x85ee84be50f99d9ec7c379f9c56442aa7529a64a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$39
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
9W / 25L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
25W / 45L
Trades (30d)
70
across 23 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.38
avg win $42 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.76
$125 won / $164 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$45
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $77 · all-time $46,927

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 126W/105L 110 $5,123
🏛 Politics 16.7% 3W/15L 16 $223
🎬 Culture 66.7% 8W/4L 6 $158

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 525 0.585 $307.31 $-110.55 -26.5%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 109 0.982 $106.57 $27.68 +35.1%
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 101 0.996 $100.43 $11.73 +13.2%
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 100 0.997 $99.65 $12.02 +13.7%
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 78 0.996 $77.94 $7.68 +10.9%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 88 0.765 $67.32 $31.24 +86.6%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? Yes 90 0.655 $58.95 $58.05 +6450.0%
Will Austin Sidwell be the Republican nominee for AL-01? No 40 1.000 $39.98 $2.24 +5.9%
James Norton announced as next James Bond? No 45 0.862 $38.77 $14.47 +59.5%
Will New Mexico have the closest Governor's race in 2026? No 37 0.989 $36.57 $10.24 +38.9%
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes 41 0.815 $33.41 $3.48 +11.6%
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 30 0.998 $29.93 $1.67 +5.9%
Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026? No 30 0.897 $26.93 $8.32 +44.8%
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09? Yes 75 0.325 $24.38 $-7.88 -24.4%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 11 0.978 $10.75 $0.63 +6.2%
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? Yes 9 0.957 $8.61 $2.58 +42.8%
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? No 95 0.082 $7.74 $-1.19 -13.3%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No 8 0.852 $6.81 $4.01 +143.3%
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes 45 0.130 $5.85 $4.95 +550.0%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 5 0.987 $4.93 $3.23 +190.1%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 108 0.027 $2.90 $0.65 +29.1%
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? Yes 70 0.038 $2.66 $-36.12 -93.1%
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 105 0.021 $2.15 $0.15 +7.7%
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by August 31, 2026? No 2 0.870 $1.74 $0.36 +26.4%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 108 0.011 $1.25 $-0.05 -4.2%