PnL (30d)

−$45

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

26W / 29L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

26W / 37L

Trades (30d)

63

across 15 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.71

avg win $4 · loss $14

Profit Factor

0.38

$27 won / $71 lost

Reward / Risk

0.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.3% 26W/29L	15	$501
🏛 Politics	—	1	$5

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	100	0.364	$36.45	$-19.05	-34.3%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	120	0.180	$21.60	$-40.80	-65.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	40	0.176	$7.06	$-3.74	-34.6%
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	Yes	16	0.038	$0.62	$-1.63	-72.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	8	0.037	$0.29	$-0.61	-67.4%