PnL (30d)

−$10

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

58W / 65L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

65W / 73L

Trades (30d)

138

across 68 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.17

avg win $7 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.94

$169 won / $179 lost

Reward / Risk

1.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$75

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.2% 58W/65L	68	$835
₿ Crypto	50.0% 2W/2L	7	$23
💵 Economy	50.0% 2W/2L	7	$23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	12	0.872	$10.08	$6.08	+152.0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	25	0.245	$6.19	$-0.81	-11.6%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	32	0.140	$4.44	$0.44	+11.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	7	0.385	$2.73	$0.73	+36.3%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in August?	Yes	7	0.260	$1.73	$-0.27	-13.3%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $337.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	4	0.365	$1.62	$-0.38	-18.9%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in August?	Yes	7	0.225	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1	0.820	$1.21	$0.21	+20.6%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1	0.540	$0.72	$-0.28	-28.0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,320 in August?	Yes	6	0.120	$0.71	$-0.29	-29.4%