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0x8575467a6743c81ef0a8d06acc76e99b454a87fe
PnL (30d)
+$255
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$42
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
2W / 2L
Trades (30d)
4
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$127.50
avg win $320 · loss $65
Profit Factor
4.92
$320 won / $65 lost
Reward / Risk
4.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$65
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $8,797,373

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 1W/1L 4 $25,660
🏛 Politics 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $24,415
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $11,480

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 10,000 0.375 $3,750.00 $-50.00 -1.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 1,500 0.835 $1,252.50 $7.50 +0.6%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 214 0.365 $78.09 $70.16 +885.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 107 0.465 $49.76 $28.36 +132.5%
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 411 0.092 $37.85 $26.73 +240.4%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes 182 0.150 $27.30 $-55.77 -67.1%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 1,396 0.017 $23.03 $-26.82 -53.8%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 635 0.025 $15.55 $-33.27 -68.2%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 286 0.047 $13.42 $3.22 +31.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 1,396 0.008 $11.17 $-38.68 -77.6%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 21 0.515 $10.81 $10.31 +2024.6%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 13 0.784 $10.26 $-1.82 -15.1%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No 10 0.998 $9.97 $0.06 +0.7%
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No 10 0.997 $9.96 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? No 10 0.987 $9.87 $-0.07 -0.7%
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? No 10 0.947 $9.47 $0.08 +0.9%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 9 1.000 $9.37 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 9 0.999 $9.36 $0.02 +0.3%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 10 0.925 $9.25 $2.95 +46.8%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 16 0.560 $9.07 $6.37 +236.0%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 9 0.958 $8.62 $0.25 +3.0%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 9 0.956 $8.60 $-0.10 -1.1%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? No 12 0.685 $8.27 $6.00 +263.4%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes 11 0.745 $8.19 $7.46 +1017.5%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No 10 0.743 $7.43 $-1.22 -14.1%