| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
454 |
0.865 |
$392.57 |
$22.67 |
+6.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
158 |
0.885 |
$139.68 |
$29.20 |
+26.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
114 |
0.960 |
$109.14 |
$-1.18 |
-1.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
102 |
0.967 |
$99.12 |
$-1.02 |
-1.0% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
93 |
1.000 |
$92.74 |
$1.99 |
+2.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.964 |
$86.40 |
$10.65 |
+14.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
82 |
0.925 |
$75.76 |
$4.12 |
+5.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
257 |
0.250 |
$64.15 |
$2.89 |
+4.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.853 |
$41.17 |
$4.22 |
+11.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.855 |
$38.11 |
$4.97 |
+15.0% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.875 |
$26.21 |
$-0.98 |
-3.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.966 |
$17.35 |
$-0.05 |
-0.3% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
18 |
0.980 |
$17.19 |
$1.04 |
+6.5% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? |
No |
17 |
0.969 |
$16.46 |
$0.48 |
+3.0% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
No |
16 |
0.935 |
$15.33 |
$0.25 |
+1.6% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.939 |
$14.85 |
$3.50 |
+30.8% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.860 |
$14.59 |
$0.15 |
+1.1% |
| Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.971 |
$14.56 |
$0.76 |
+5.5% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
20 |
0.730 |
$14.53 |
$-2.23 |
-13.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.935 |
$14.04 |
$0.53 |
+3.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
57 |
0.215 |
$12.17 |
$-35.37 |
-74.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.635 |
$10.45 |
$-1.07 |
-9.3% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.895 |
$10.19 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
17 |
0.603 |
$9.96 |
$-2.90 |
-22.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
60 |
0.165 |
$9.91 |
$-8.11 |
-45.0% |