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Trader

0x852eaa709e9e502489b3c3f6c967493342a9ca77
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$67
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
118W / 289L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
124W / 290L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
415
across 16 markets · ~26 per market
EV / position
−$6.08
avg win $9 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.30
$28 won / $95 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,682 · all-time $1,299,899

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.7% 995W/1,872L 139 $8,220
⚽ Sports 56 $1,071
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 7 $94
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $60

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? Yes 142 0.855 $121.41 $36.12 +42.3%
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes 50 0.777 $38.87 $0.95 +2.5%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 50 0.585 $29.24 $1.50 +5.4%
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? Yes 260 0.100 $26.00 $-43.55 -62.6%
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 25 0.991 $24.77 $1.25 +5.3%
Will Daniil Medvedev Win ATP Montreal No 23 0.955 $21.96 $0.12 +0.5%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? No 46 0.456 $20.83 $-0.41 -1.9%
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? No 53 0.395 $20.79 $0.22 +1.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes 85 0.225 $19.12 $0.42 +2.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? No 40 0.425 $17.00 $-2.60 -13.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? Yes 40 0.375 $15.00 $-4.80 -24.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 26 0.519 $13.45 $2.29 +20.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 13 0.973 $12.67 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? Yes 42 0.290 $12.24 $-0.43 -3.4%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 30 0.391 $11.75 $2.99 +34.2%
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 15 0.756 $11.34 $-0.15 -1.3%
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 34 0.305 $10.25 $3.09 +43.1%
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 29 0.345 $9.99 $-0.15 -1.5%
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes 28 0.350 $9.97 $0.28 +2.9%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? No 10 0.941 $9.73 $0.64 +7.0%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 35 0.275 $9.62 $0.12 +1.3%
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 25 0.380 $9.50 $-0.25 -2.6%
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 10 0.945 $9.44 $0.05 +0.5%
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal Yes 49 0.190 $9.38 $-2.52 -21.2%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? No 14 0.645 $8.81 $1.69 +23.7%