vib3lite
0x85124ea7f99f9720711847175e7c1fcfe65fe70e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$283
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
99%
687W / 7L · 79 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
766W / 7L
Trades (30d)
773
across 15 markets · ~52 per market
EV / position
+$20.22
avg win $26 · loss $16
Profit Factor
9.99
$314 won / $31 lost
Reward / Risk
1.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,965 · all-time $293,828
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? |
Yes |
540 |
0.976 |
$526.77 |
$30.49 |
+6.1% |
| Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? |
Yes |
526 |
0.927 |
$488.14 |
$15.48 |
+3.3% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
335 |
0.985 |
$329.81 |
$23.24 |
+7.6% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
200 |
0.740 |
$148.00 |
$-33.20 |
-18.3% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.940 |
$94.00 |
$2.80 |
+3.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
5 |
0.643 |
$3.22 |
$-1.28 |
-28.5% |