0x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-1733944114414
0x84fdf3382af0bdcf7d8e6272f477334cac442f81
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$105
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
21W / 18L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
26W / 28L
Trades (30d)
54
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$11.67
avg win $34 · loss $34
Profit Factor
0.49
$101 won / $206 lost
Reward / Risk
0.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$186
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,823 · all-time $801,914
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
1,646 |
0.493 |
$812.49 |
$-224.32 |
-21.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.610 |
$488.23 |
$72.25 |
+17.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.957 |
$382.60 |
$69.10 |
+22.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? |
Yes |
424 |
0.195 |
$82.62 |
$-100.06 |
-54.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.278 |
$69.38 |
$17.88 |
+34.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.445 |
$44.50 |
$-1.50 |
-3.3% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
489 |
0.065 |
$31.79 |
$2.44 |
+8.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.175 |
$10.11 |
$0.90 |
+9.8% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
54 |
0.011 |
$0.60 |
$-3.74 |
-86.3% |