mamuyuni
0x84f456e5c589fb8bc7e14e09ea5698cf58df4eea
PnL (30d)
+$17
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
15W / 13L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
19W / 14L
Trades (30d)
33
across 20 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.17
avg win $9 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.39
$62 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
1.59
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $55 · all-time $10,757
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.925 |
$9.34 |
$0.30 |
+3.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
14 |
0.655 |
$9.16 |
$0.63 |
+7.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
18 |
0.505 |
$9.09 |
$0.09 |
+1.0% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.490 |
$7.64 |
$0.16 |
+2.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.155 |
$7.13 |
$-19.05 |
-72.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.961 |
$5.18 |
$0.16 |
+3.2% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.952 |
$1.43 |
$0.06 |
+4.4% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.975 |
$0.97 |
$0.02 |
+2.0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.942 |
$0.94 |
$0.02 |
+1.9% |