| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
225 |
0.935 |
$210.28 |
$0.74 |
+0.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
216 |
0.883 |
$190.82 |
$10.84 |
+6.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
169 |
0.915 |
$154.42 |
$-2.34 |
-1.5% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
143 |
0.979 |
$139.59 |
$5.52 |
+4.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
118 |
0.999 |
$117.87 |
$32.21 |
+37.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
136 |
0.865 |
$117.64 |
$4.72 |
+4.2% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
109 |
0.976 |
$106.38 |
$5.54 |
+5.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
107 |
0.989 |
$105.82 |
$7.38 |
+7.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.935 |
$101.92 |
$5.77 |
+6.0% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
126 |
0.785 |
$98.52 |
$34.70 |
+54.4% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
Yes |
115 |
0.855 |
$98.33 |
$-1.67 |
-1.7% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
101 |
0.962 |
$97.16 |
$1.60 |
+1.7% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
101 |
0.925 |
$93.61 |
$2.77 |
+3.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
No |
90 |
0.966 |
$86.89 |
$2.54 |
+3.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
85 |
0.987 |
$83.85 |
$6.93 |
+9.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
122 |
0.646 |
$78.70 |
$-26.04 |
-24.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
137 |
0.573 |
$78.54 |
$-20.44 |
-20.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? |
No |
76 |
1.000 |
$75.96 |
$24.47 |
+47.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
115 |
0.655 |
$75.33 |
$9.46 |
+14.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
85 |
0.885 |
$74.81 |
$-0.22 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
85 |
0.877 |
$74.55 |
$-5.16 |
-6.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
159 |
0.455 |
$72.34 |
$1.56 |
+2.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? |
No |
71 |
0.989 |
$70.18 |
$3.24 |
+4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.885 |
$69.03 |
$7.91 |
+12.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
89 |
0.765 |
$67.89 |
$2.26 |
+3.4% |