| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
3,687 |
0.934 |
$3,443.72 |
$102.35 |
+3.1% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
71,406 |
0.011 |
$821.17 |
$-231.71 |
-22.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.945 |
$756.00 |
$30.08 |
+4.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
400 |
0.857 |
$342.62 |
$-0.92 |
-0.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,830 |
0.184 |
$337.63 |
$-82.28 |
-19.6% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
340 |
0.725 |
$246.30 |
$77.79 |
+46.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.615 |
$246.00 |
$-9.19 |
-3.6% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,881 |
0.024 |
$213.13 |
$85.09 |
+66.5% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,394 |
0.029 |
$188.61 |
$99.45 |
+111.5% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,100 |
0.025 |
$129.54 |
$12.39 |
+10.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,654 |
0.049 |
$81.06 |
$8.56 |
+11.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
210 |
0.146 |
$30.76 |
$19.10 |
+163.6% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
70 |
0.420 |
$29.40 |
$-7.40 |
-20.1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
560 |
0.052 |
$29.40 |
$9.75 |
+49.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.485 |
$29.10 |
$5.60 |
+23.8% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? |
No |
415 |
0.052 |
$21.58 |
$-15.16 |
-41.3% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.955 |
$19.10 |
$0.80 |
+4.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.935 |
$18.70 |
$2.30 |
+14.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.790 |
$15.80 |
$11.85 |
+300.0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.015 |
$14.50 |
$2.50 |
+20.8% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.013 |
$13.00 |
$-3.00 |
-18.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.971 |
$9.71 |
$0.39 |
+4.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$9.06 |
$1.15 |
+14.6% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.004 |
$5.25 |
$-10.75 |
-67.2% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
500 |
0.011 |
$5.25 |
$-1.25 |
-19.2% |