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DonationsReceiver

0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418
PnL (30d)
+$647
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$610
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
73W / 65L · 119 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
152W / 96L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
257
across 35 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$34.05
avg win $219 · loss $368
Profit Factor
1.29
$2,853 won / $2,206 lost
Reward / Risk
0.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$264
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40,719 · all-time $6,634,097

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.9% 73W/65L 35 $427,742
🏛 Politics 100.0% 25W/0L 7 $33,238
🌤 Weather 1 $1,726
🔬 Science 1 $1,726
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 1 $814
🎬 Culture 100.0% 12W/0L 1 $25,071

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 60,000 0.790 $47,430.00 $17,430.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 60,000 0.209 $12,570.00 $-17,430.00 -58.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 5,555 0.963 $5,346.69 $-19.44 -0.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5,012 0.865 $4,335.17 $195.37 +4.7%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 3,999 0.987 $3,947.01 $115.97 +3.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 2,000 0.786 $1,573.00 $107.00 +7.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 1,113 0.945 $1,052.22 $38.97 +3.8%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 225 0.977 $219.91 $8.22 +3.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 104 0.235 $24.37 $-43.07 -63.9%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 5,428 0.004 $19.00 $2.71 +16.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 243 0.075 $18.23 $-3.65 -16.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.915 $9.15 $0.35 +4.0%
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Pamela Walford win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-112.38 -97.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1 0.963 $0.96 $0.17 +21.8%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 499 0.001 $0.25 $-15.34 -98.4%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 499 0.001 $0.25 $-15.34 -98.4%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 499 0.001 $0.25 $-15.34 -98.4%