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Trader leaderboard/5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g

5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g

0x83c56c56bc67c0b99b38abd1c0a3c1aca7a7e193
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$56
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
13W / 13L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
20W / 33L
Trades (30d)
53
across 20 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$11.15
avg win $14 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.20
$14 won / $70 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $90 · all-time $847,678

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.9% 31W/38L 41 $3,715
🏛 Politics 2 $72
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 270 0.925 $249.87 $15.16 +6.5%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 416 0.410 $170.42 $-30.14 -15.0%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 367 0.350 $128.49 $16.17 +14.4%
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No 99 0.855 $84.96 $24.69 +41.0%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes 253 0.295 $74.51 $-80.91 -52.1%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes 110 0.665 $73.15 $-7.55 -9.4%
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 58 0.986 $57.19 $6.15 +12.0%
Trump on $250 bill this year? No 53 0.973 $51.15 $2.79 +5.8%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? No 40 0.946 $37.84 $-1.28 -3.3%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No 30 0.780 $23.05 $6.21 +36.8%
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No 22 0.815 $17.95 $4.73 +35.8%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 19 0.700 $13.08 $2.22 +20.4%
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No 52 0.090 $4.65 $-26.93 -85.3%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No 1 0.105 $0.14 $-0.08 -38.2%
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes 55 0.001 $0.03 $-1.24 -97.8%