| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
103 |
0.455 |
$46.97 |
$24.26 |
+106.8% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.505 |
$10.10 |
$0.17 |
+1.7% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.125 |
$8.33 |
$-1.67 |
-16.7% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
Yes |
30 |
0.235 |
$7.05 |
$3.15 |
+80.8% |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.052 |
$6.55 |
$-5.91 |
-47.4% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.075 |
$5.62 |
$-2.42 |
-30.1% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.135 |
$5.40 |
$0.60 |
+12.5% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.715 |
$4.20 |
$1.38 |
+49.0% |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
9 |
0.430 |
$3.98 |
$-1.02 |
-20.4% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
156 |
0.025 |
$3.97 |
$-1.03 |
-20.6% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
14 |
0.265 |
$3.79 |
$-1.21 |
-24.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.261 |
$2.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
30 |
0.086 |
$2.56 |
$-0.43 |
-14.5% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.075 |
$2.25 |
$-0.15 |
-6.2% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.110 |
$2.20 |
$-1.80 |
-45.0% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3 |
0.580 |
$1.66 |
$0.66 |
+65.7% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
19 |
0.068 |
$1.27 |
$-0.73 |
-36.3% |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.145 |
$1.21 |
$-0.79 |
-39.6% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.111 |
$1.10 |
$-0.99 |
-47.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.905 |
$1.05 |
$0.05 |
+5.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.155 |
$0.97 |
$-0.03 |
-3.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.095 |
$0.95 |
$-0.95 |
-50.0% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.095 |
$0.95 |
$-0.75 |
-44.1% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.034 |
$0.68 |
$-4.02 |
-85.5% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.032 |
$0.63 |
$-0.57 |
-47.5% |