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Trader

0x8301ba6b12c7872de2966375960ef12d628e3bdc
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
12W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
60%
12W / 8L
Trades (30d)
20
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.57
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.26
$2 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $310 · all-time $1,898,932

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.0% 65W/35L 44 $331
₿ Crypto 50.0% 4W/4L 3 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

100 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next? Yes 50 0.455 $22.75 $22.25 +4450.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.372 $18.62 $18.12 +3625.0%
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes 50 0.151 $7.55 $7.05 +1410.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.148 $7.42 $6.92 +1385.0%
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.118 $5.90 $5.40 +1080.0%
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 50 0.102 $5.08 $4.58 +915.0%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 8 0.615 $4.74 $4.67 +6049.9%
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes 50 0.082 $4.08 $3.58 +715.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.051 $2.54 $2.04 +409.0%
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 50 0.037 $1.88 $1.38 +275.0%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? Yes 50 0.029 $1.43 $0.93 +185.0%
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 50 0.026 $1.32 $0.82 +165.0%
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 50 0.017 $0.82 $0.32 +65.0%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 39 0.020 $0.79 $0.39 +100.0%
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 50 0.012 $0.60 $0.10 +20.0%
Will Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.012 $0.60 $0.10 +20.0%
Will Aljamain Sterling fight Alexander Volkanovski next? Yes 10 0.056 $0.56 $0.46 +460.0%
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 46 0.011 $0.50 $0.05 +10.0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50 0.009 $0.47 $-0.03 -5.0%
Will Arman Tsarukyan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.009 $0.42 $-0.07 -15.0%
Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.009 $0.42 $-0.07 -15.0%
Will Max Holloway be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.008 $0.40 $-0.10 -20.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.006 $0.33 $-0.17 -35.0%
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 50 0.006 $0.33 $-0.17 -35.0%
Will Tom Aspinall be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 50 0.006 $0.30 $-0.20 -40.0%