| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%? |
No |
5 |
0.998 |
$5.14 |
$0.14 |
+2.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.915 |
$3.21 |
$0.21 |
+6.9% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.963 |
$3.07 |
$0.07 |
+2.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
2 |
0.972 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.961 |
$1.22 |
$0.22 |
+21.6% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.932 |
$1.21 |
$0.21 |
+20.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.977 |
$1.11 |
$0.11 |
+11.0% |
| Graham Platner charged by August 31? |
No |
1 |
0.972 |
$1.09 |
$0.09 |
+9.2% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.925 |
$1.08 |
$0.08 |
+7.5% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.900 |
$1.06 |
$0.06 |
+5.9% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? |
No |
1 |
0.973 |
$1.06 |
$0.06 |
+5.7% |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.969 |
$1.04 |
$0.04 |
+4.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.04 |
$0.04 |
+3.8% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.967 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.925 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.955 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.6% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.954 |
$1.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.928 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.855 |
$0.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1 |
0.835 |
$0.96 |
$-0.04 |
-4.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.835 |
$0.95 |
$-0.05 |
-5.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
1 |
0.905 |
$0.94 |
$-0.06 |
-5.7% |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? |
No |
1 |
0.835 |
$0.93 |
$-0.07 |
-7.2% |