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Trader leaderboard/dfdfed

dfdfed

0x82ca57287ba4250c8348ced5a683e228d0353135
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$9
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
628W / 561L
Win Return (30d)
53%
628W / 561L
Trades (30d)
1,189
across 153 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.92
$95 won / $104 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,163 · all-time $361,333

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.0% 4,550W/3,883L 1580 $30,858
⚽ Sports 51.5% 545W/514L 258 $3,842
🌤 Weather 32.4% 45W/94L 21 $503
🏛 Politics 77.8% 14W/4L 11 $157
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/12L 11 $156
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/6L 5 $47
🎬 Culture 71.4% 10W/4L 4 $113
🤖 Tech 100.0% 15W/0L 3 $114

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 12 0.770 $9.09 $0.98 +12.1%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 6 0.934 $5.65 $0.81 +16.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 5 0.873 $4.17 $1.39 +50.3%
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 4 0.912 $3.79 $0.74 +24.2%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 Under 6 0.500 $3.15 $-1.51 -32.4%
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No 4 0.730 $2.92 $0.92 +46.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 4 0.461 $2.03 $-0.41 -16.7%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? No 3 0.685 $2.01 $0.07 +3.8%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 2 0.996 $1.83 $0.26 +16.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1 0.915 $1.20 $0.41 +52.5%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) PlayTime 2 0.500 $1.06 $-0.16 -13.0%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes 2 0.580 $0.98 $-0.08 -7.9%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 2 0.485 $0.97 $0.11 +12.8%
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026? Yes 7 0.135 $0.91 $-2.86 -75.9%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 1 0.435 $0.60 $-0.10 -14.7%
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings? No 6 0.055 $0.35 $-3.19 -90.2%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 1 0.210 $0.26 $-0.33 -56.2%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes 2 0.095 $0.16 $-0.73 -82.1%
Will A Just Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 6 0.006 $0.04 $-1.04 -96.7%
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-16? No 3 0.000 $0.00 $-0.88 -100.0%